Your Daily Market Beat

July 29, 2010

Your Daily Market Beat

131% in Just 9 Hours

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In Today's Issue...

* Are You Refinancing? (TF)

* 131% in Just 9 Hours (TF)

* Hollywood and Wall Street (ED)

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*Mortgage Rates Falling Like Obama's Polls (Tim Fields)

Falling like a rock, falling like O's polls, both work to explain how much of a discount there is on mortgage rates.

Today, mortgage rates dropped to the lowest level on record for the fifth time in six weeks, making home buying and refi's extremely attractive.

Mortgage company Freddie Mac said the average rate for 30-year fixed loans this week was 4.54 percent, down from 4.56% last week.

The last time rates were lower was during the 1950s, when most mortgages lasted just 20 or 25 years.

The rate on the 15-year fixed loan dropped to 4 percent, down from 4.03% last week - and the lowest on record.

Rates have fallen since the spring. Yields on U.S. Treasury bonds have dropped as jittery investors seek safer investments. Mortgage rates tend to track the yields on Treasuries.

I think smart homeowners will be refinancing and fast, as the economy gets worse, what's better than having an extra 300 bucks in your pocket?

*Hopefully You Knew It Was Coming (Tim Fields)

Here it goes... "I told you so".

If you read Tuesday's Daily Market Beat, I wrote about our ADR service and said that I have pretty much found a "sure thing"; an ADR so powerful and underpriced that it couldn't stay at current levels. I even said what price it would go to.

I said the ADR would hit 100%... and granted I was wrong about that... it ran higher than that, actually 131%.

What happened here is the ADR was at a level it shouldn't have been at, a "mega-support" level that simply I could not let go. It was for that reason that I notified you, and members of our ADR service, that something big was going to happen. And 131% is pretty darn big.

And all of this happened in just 9 trading hours. This is how quickly these investments can spike.

This Sunday, keep an eye out in your inboxes, as I'm going to send you some important information about ADRs that you don't want to miss... mainly, what my next recommendation will be.

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* Pinstriped Suites & Good Information (Eric Dickson)

Thinking back to when I was a hotshot stockbroker; wearing nice suits and spitting off well-practiced lines to investors... I was sold on the fast-paced world of Hollywood and Wall Street - merged into one magnificent image of wealth and power.

The epicenter of this was one of my all-time favorites - the movie Wall Street.

The holy bible for stockbrokers, this movie sets the stage between greed and morality... but in the end I think the important lesson to be learned is, as Michael Douglas's character, Gordon Gekko puts it, "The most valuable commodity I know of is information."

His point is, information is paramount, sure you can do technical charting till you're blue in the face... or you could use common fundamentals to find strong companies with a good balance sheet... but in the end, what separates those in the winning column and those in the losing, as lessons from Goldman Sachs teaches us, are the contrarian moves.

If everyone and their mother is investing in some biotech company because it's the next hot investment... they might be too late because the chances are the big money is already on the other side.

But let me say this - this situation, isn't a bad thing... if you have the right information and you act early you'll be making money with the real market player - hedge funds and day traders.

I think if you have an appetite for risk you need to let your 'greed gene' take over and invest in stocks for the sole reason of making money. Forget anything else. A percentage of your portfolio should be devoted to stocks that come and go like the tide. Pocket a quick 20-30% and throw them away.

Morality aside, some companies are controlled by greedy execs or super wealthy investors... and why should they be the only ones making money from them. These stocks will come and go, and then be followed by a new one tomorrow. The only thing that changes is who actually makes money.

In our industry, information is the most valuable commodity. Knowing which stock is going to be in demand and when they'll be moving is far more important than understanding historical trends. Know the right people, who talk to the right people, and you're on the inside.

I don't think greed is ultimately a weakness; it's a human emotion, a high, a utopic feeling... the only weakness is thinking it will last forever - it won't.

Knowing when to take your profits and cut your losses is the name of the game. And this, my friends, comes from good information.

You see a stock moving higher for no other reason than a few big trades, well you better align yourself contrarian because that stock is about to move conversely... as soon as 'mom & pop' invest... the profiteers will be shorting it.

So the lesson here is that people with the right information at the right time will come out on top. No matter how devious the investment is, as long as someone is willing to buy it, somebody is going to make money from it.

Which person will you be?

**Do you agree with Eric or think he's going a little over the top in this article - we want to know your thoughts. Email Eric.
editor@untappedwealthonline.com
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Quote of the Day

"The love of economy is the root of all virtue."

--George Bernard Shaw--
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Breaking News Stories

June 7 (Reuters) -- The euro fell below $1.19 on Monday for the first time in more than four years but recovered some losses as strong German manufacturing data prompted investors to book profits after the currency's recent slide.

European corporate demand helped lift the euro after it touched $1.1876 EUR=EBS, its weakest level since March 2006. But it remained well below $1.20, a level pierced Friday after Hungary's warning about its deficit reminded investors of the severe debt problems plaguing some European countries.

"After Hungary's warning and weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data on Friday, selling got a bit overdone," said Amelia Bourdeau, senior strategist at UBS in Stamford, Connecticut.

Read full story…

June 7 (Bloomberg) -- The airline industry will post a $2.5 billion profit in 2010, reversing two years of losses, the International Air Transport Association said today, scrapping an estimate for a $2.8 billion deficit as the economy rebounds.

The profit would be the industry’s first since 2007 and only the third in a decade after previous results were afflicted by recession, terrorist attacks, epidemics and wars. Europe is the only region still forecast to lose money in 2010.

Prospects for carriers have improved in the past few months as economic growth in Asia and the U.S. boosts demand for travel and capacity cuts imposed last year bolster ticket prices. IATA had been predicting a loss as recently as March 11. Moody’s Investors Service today also raised its outlook for the industry to stable from negative, citing improving

Read full story…

June 7 (Bloomberg) -- BP Plc said that spending increased at a faster rate on the response to the Gulf of Mexico oil spill, the worst in U.S. history.

BP has spent $1.25 billion so far, the company said in a statement in London today. That’s about $27 million a day, compared with $24 million a day in a June 1 estimate. BP said it captured 11,100 barrels on June 6 from the leaking well on the ocean floor, more than the previous day and about half of the top end of the estimated spill rate.

A new cap over the well is capable of collecting the “vast majority” of the oil gushing out, Chief Executive Officer Tony Hayward said in an interview with the British Broadcasting Corp. yesterday. The U.S. Coast Guard said that the Gulf will be under “siege” from oil pollution until the fall.

Read full story…

June 7 (Wall Street Journal) -- Countrywide Home Loans, Inc., a subsidiary of Bank of America Corp., agreed to pay $108 million to settle Federal Trade Commission charges that the company collected excessive fees from homeowners who were struggling to keep their homes, the commission said Monday.

The settlement is one of the largest judgments imposed in an FTC case, FTC Chairman Jon Leibowitz said.

The settlement funds will be used to reimburse 200,000 homeowners who were allegedly overcharged by Countrywide before it was acquired by Bank of America in July 2008.

Read full story…